Outstanding Cards
"Outstanding Card" statistics are the probibiliy of trump-split with the opponent
Use below tables in absense of useful information from the bidding. Notes: on all the drop or
finesse suggestion, the text assumes you have all the top honor (Ace or King)
Seven-Cards Fit
If you and partner have 7 cards, then the LHO and RHO have a total of 6 cards:
Split |
Probability |
0 |
- |
6 |
1.5% |
1 |
- |
5 |
15% |
2 |
- |
4 |
48% |
3 |
- |
3 |
36% |
Drop or Finesse the Queen/King?
Finesse the Queen/King.
Eight-Cards Fit
If you and partner have 8 cards, then the LHO and RHO have a total of 5 cards:
Split |
Probability |
0 |
- |
5 |
3.9% |
1 |
- |
4 |
28% |
2 |
- |
3 |
68% |
Drop or Finesse the Queen?
Cash the Ace first, then finesse the Queen.
Nine-Cards Fit
If you and partner have 9 cards, then the LHO and RHO have a total of 4 cards:
Split |
Probability |
0 |
- |
4 |
9.6% |
1 |
- |
3 |
50% |
2 |
- |
2 |
41% |
Drop or Finesse the Queen?
Cash the Ace first, so any singleton Q and void can be observed immediately. Then play toward the King.
If
you
still
do not see the Q, then it is almost 50-50 (20 to 19) in favor to drop the Q
Ten-Cards Fit
If you and partner have 10 cards, then the LHO and RHO have a total of 3 cards:
Split |
Probability |
0 |
- |
3 |
22% |
1 |
- |
2 |
78% |
Drop or Finesse the Queen?
Cash the Ace first, if both opponent have the suit then cash the King.
If your LHO show a void the first time, you can finesse the Q.
Eleven-Cards Fit
If you and partner have 11 cards, then the LHO and RHO have a total of 2 cards:
Split |
Probability |
0 |
- |
2 |
48% |
1 |
- |
1 |
52% |
Drop or Finesse the King?
If possible, play toward the A, using Q preferably (especially if J is hidden):
- Your RHO may show a void. So, always 1 trick for opponent. No regret, no wondering
- Your RHO could mistakenly/unnecessarily play K to cover Q
- The singleton K may show up from your RHO
- If you did not see the King, then drop (cash the Ace) - 52% vs 48% - almost similar odds
Further Reading: